To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it’s a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India (NSE:JCHAC), we don’t think it’s current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don’t know, ROCE is a measure of a company’s yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets – Current Liabilities)
0.10 = ₹857m ÷ (₹12b – ₹3.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
Thus, Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India has an ROCE of 10%. That’s a relatively normal return on capital, and it’s around the 12% generated by the Consumer Durables industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India
NSEI:JCHAC Return on Capital Employed December 31st 2021
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you’d like to look at how Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India doesn’t inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 10% from 26% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a related note, Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India has decreased its current liabilities to 30% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What’s more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company’s suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it’s own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Bottom Line
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India. Furthermore the stock has climbed 43% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
One more thing, we’ve spotted 1 warning sign facing Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India that you might find interesting.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
